Hello all. I went 2-1 on the picks I posted last week. I was about 3 yards from going 3-0. Hines Ward is about to score at the end of regulation, but instead gets stripped and loses the fumble at about the 3 or 4 yard line. Steelers kick a FG on first down in OT to win by 3. So they didn't cover.
My other two picks covered nicely. Falcons were a 4.5 point favorite and won by 12. And the Vikings were a 4.5 favorite and won by 14. BTW I try to bet at the beginning of the week so those lines may have moved before game time on Sunday.
So now.. HERE ARE MY WEEK 2 NFL PICKS!!
First, New England Patriots(-4) @ New York Jets
I won my "pick of the week" last week. And here is my pick of the week this week. I understand that the Pats barely SQUEAKED by the terrible Bills last week. And I'm also aware that the Jets put a beating on the Texans. But I think both of those performances were not true to how good/bad these teams are. What did impress me, was Randy Moss and Wes Welker each caught 12 balls. That's only been done once before in NFL history(Keyshawn and Dunn). I don't think they'll do it again. But Tom Brady is Tom Brady. The last 10 games that the Patriots have played the Jets in New York, The Pats are 10-0 Against the Spread. The Patriots offensive line was iffy last week and it took Brady a while to get back into the groove of things after missing almost all of 2008. But he still ended up with 378 yards passing? The Jets held Schaub in check, but can the 2008's 4th worse pass defense hold Brady in check? I'm betting not.
I'm taking the Pat's -4.
Game 2. The Indianapolis Colts(-4) @ Dolphins
On a side note, I was looking at this game Monday night.. And I really liked it at Colts(-3). I keep the internet explorer up, go take a 10-minute shit.. I get back.. and the line is at -4. Unbelievable lol. What a difference a point can make?!
Anyway, The Colts are another team that sneaked by an opponent in week 1, beating Jacksonville by only 1. This next game has more to do about how I feel about Miami. As I said in my last post when I bet against Miami, I feel like Miami over achieved last year going 11-5. This year they will struggle. And Peyton Manning is a pretty strong guy to try to make a statement against. Anthony Gonzales is banged up, and I don't care for that. But I think Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, and the boys should get it done. Peyton can make anyone good enough. The Colts looked ugly but still got it done, especially on defense. They held Jacksonville to 122 yards passing, and held Maurice Jones-Drew under 100 yards rushing. While Manning managed to throw for over 300 yards. Wayne being the main beneficiary. Like I said, Miami is a 2009 bust in my prediction, and the Colts are still... well... the Colts.
I'm taking the Colts(-4).
Last but not least the Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans(-7)
First, I should apologize to the Titans for what I said about them last week. I watched(in disgust) the Titans/Steelers game from the Beau Rivage Poker Room. The Titans impressed me. Kerry Collins looked pretty stable. And Chris Johnson only ran for 57 yards, but only had 15 carries(3.9ypc). But he impressed me some. He looked good. And I think he and L.White can give the Texans some trouble. Thomas(former Bear) Jones gave they trouble last week rushing for 107 yards on only 20 carries and 2 TD's. The Texans defense was 27th in 2008, and showed nothing in week 1 to prove different. In week 1, the Texans only mustered 183 TOTAL NET YARDS, while letting the Rookie Sanchez and the Jets come up with 462. And the Texans offense face a tough Titans D this week. Tennessee is 12-3 Against the spread in their last 15 games within the AFC South. Add up the Titans average offense and great defense v.s. the Texans just overall struggle.... and I've got the Titans covering.
Well there's my picks. Let's see what we can do!
Last week: 2-1
Overall: 2-1
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
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